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Polish Ekstraklasa | Gameweek 11
Oct 8, 2023 at 2pm UK
Stadion Cracovii im. Jozefa Pilsudskiego

Cracovia
2 - 4
Jagiellonia

Ghita (57'), Glik (60')
Glik (64'), Smiglewski (86')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Wdowik (7'), Normann Hansen (9', 49'), Marczuk (55')
Coverage of the Polish Ekstraklasa clash between KS Cracovia and Jagiellonia Bialystok.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: LKS Lodz 0-2 Cracovia
Saturday, September 30 at 2pm in Polish Ekstraklasa
Last Game: Jagiellonia 2-0 Legia
Sunday, October 1 at 7pm in Polish Ekstraklasa

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a KS Cracovia win with a probability of 44.19%. A win for Jagiellonia Bialystok had a probability of 29.4% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a KS Cracovia win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.92%) and 2-0 (8.05%). The likeliest Jagiellonia Bialystok win was 0-1 (8.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.55%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood.

Result
KS CracoviaDrawJagiellonia Bialystok
44.19% (1.101 1.1) 26.42% (-0.054000000000002 -0.05) 29.4% (-1.044 -1.04)
Both teams to score 50.82% (-0.367 -0.37)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.38% (-0.223 -0.22)53.62% (0.225 0.23)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.88% (-0.189 -0.19)75.12% (0.191 0.19)
KS Cracovia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.87% (0.446 0.45)24.13% (-0.444 -0.44)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.56% (0.627 0.63)58.44% (-0.625 -0.63)
Jagiellonia Bialystok Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.99% (-0.881 -0.88)33.01% (0.883 0.88)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.4% (-0.988 -0.99)69.6% (0.98999999999999 0.99)
Score Analysis
    KS Cracovia 44.18%
    Jagiellonia Bialystok 29.4%
    Draw 26.42%
KS CracoviaDrawJagiellonia Bialystok
1-0 @ 11.32% (0.24 0.24)
2-1 @ 8.92% (0.093 0.09)
2-0 @ 8.05% (0.274 0.27)
3-1 @ 4.23% (0.098 0.1)
3-0 @ 3.82% (0.178 0.18)
3-2 @ 2.34% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-1 @ 1.5% (0.053 0.05)
4-0 @ 1.36% (0.08 0.08)
Other @ 2.65%
Total : 44.18%
1-1 @ 12.55% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
0-0 @ 7.97% (0.069999999999999 0.07)
2-2 @ 4.94% (-0.068 -0.07)
Other @ 0.96%
Total : 26.42%
0-1 @ 8.83% (-0.136 -0.14)
1-2 @ 6.96% (-0.187 -0.19)
0-2 @ 4.89% (-0.197 -0.2)
1-3 @ 2.57% (-0.133 -0.13)
2-3 @ 1.83% (-0.071 -0.07)
0-3 @ 1.81% (-0.118 -0.12)
Other @ 2.51%
Total : 29.4%

Read more!
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Form Guide
Last Game: LKS Lodz 0-2 Cracovia
Saturday, September 30 at 2pm in Polish Ekstraklasa
Last Game: Cracovia 1-5 Szczecin
Saturday, September 23 at 4.30pm in Polish Ekstraklasa
Last Game: Widzew Lodz 2-0 Cracovia
Sunday, September 17 at 2pm in Polish Ekstraklasa
Last Game: Cracovia 0-0 Korona Kielce
Saturday, September 2 at 4.30pm in Polish Ekstraklasa
Last Game: Warta Poznan 0-0 Cracovia
Saturday, August 26 at 2pm in Polish Ekstraklasa
Last Game: Cracovia 1-1 Piast Gliwice
Monday, August 21 at 6pm in Polish Ekstraklasa
Last Game: Jagiellonia 2-0 Legia
Sunday, October 1 at 7pm in Polish Ekstraklasa
Last Game: LKS Lodz 2-2 Jagiellonia
Friday, September 22 at 7.30pm in Polish Ekstraklasa
Last Game: Jagiellonia 3-2 Radomiak Radom
Sunday, September 17 at 11.30am in Polish Ekstraklasa
Last Game: Slask Wroclaw 2-1 Jagiellonia
Sunday, September 3 at 11.30am in Polish Ekstraklasa
Last Game: Jagiellonia 4-1 Gornik
Sunday, August 27 at 4.30pm in Polish Ekstraklasa
Last Game: Ruch Chorzow 0-1 Jagiellonia
Saturday, August 19 at 7pm in Polish Ekstraklasa


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