Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a KS Cracovia win with a probability of 44.19%. A win for Jagiellonia Bialystok had a probability of 29.4% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a KS Cracovia win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.92%) and 2-0 (8.05%). The likeliest Jagiellonia Bialystok win was 0-1 (8.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.55%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood.
Result | ||
KS Cracovia | Draw | Jagiellonia Bialystok |
44.19% ( 1.1) | 26.42% ( -0.05) | 29.4% ( -1.04) |
Both teams to score 50.82% ( -0.37) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
46.38% ( -0.22) | 53.62% ( 0.23) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
24.88% ( -0.19) | 75.12% ( 0.19) |
KS Cracovia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.87% ( 0.45) | 24.13% ( -0.44) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.56% ( 0.63) | 58.44% ( -0.63) |
Jagiellonia Bialystok Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.99% ( -0.88) | 33.01% ( 0.88) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.4% ( -0.99) | 69.6% ( 0.99) |
Score Analysis |
KS Cracovia | Draw | Jagiellonia Bialystok |
1-0 @ 11.32% ( 0.24) 2-1 @ 8.92% ( 0.09) 2-0 @ 8.05% ( 0.27) 3-1 @ 4.23% ( 0.1) 3-0 @ 3.82% ( 0.18) 3-2 @ 2.34% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.5% ( 0.05) 4-0 @ 1.36% ( 0.08) Other @ 2.65% Total : 44.18% | 1-1 @ 12.55% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 7.97% ( 0.07) 2-2 @ 4.94% ( -0.07) Other @ 0.96% Total : 26.42% | 0-1 @ 8.83% ( -0.14) 1-2 @ 6.96% ( -0.19) 0-2 @ 4.89% ( -0.2) 1-3 @ 2.57% ( -0.13) 2-3 @ 1.83% ( -0.07) 0-3 @ 1.81% ( -0.12) Other @ 2.51% Total : 29.4% |
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