SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Jagiellonia Bialystok win with a probability of 42.5%. A win for Pogon Szczecin had a probability of 33.05% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Jagiellonia Bialystok win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.36%) and 2-0 (6.58%). The likeliest Pogon Szczecin win was 1-2 (7.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.38%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Jagiellonia Bialystok | Draw | Pogon Szczecin |
42.5% ( -0.39) | 24.45% ( 0.07) | 33.05% ( 0.31) |
| Both teams to score 58.96% ( -0.14) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.22% ( -0.23) | 43.78% ( 0.22) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.83% ( -0.22) | 66.17% ( 0.22) |
| Jagiellonia Bialystok Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.28% ( -0.27) | 20.71% ( 0.27) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.67% ( -0.42) | 53.32% ( 0.42) |
| Pogon Szczecin Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.36% ( 0.08) | 25.63% ( -0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.47% ( 0.11) | 60.53% ( -0.11) |
| Score Analysis |
| Jagiellonia Bialystok | Draw | Pogon Szczecin |
| 2-1 @ 8.96% ( -0.04) 1-0 @ 8.36% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 6.58% ( -0.04)3-1 @ 4.7% ( -0.06)3-0 @ 3.45% ( -0.05)3-2 @ 3.2% ( -0.03)4-1 @ 1.85% ( -0.04)4-0 @ 1.36% ( -0.03)4-2 @ 1.26% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.78% Total : 42.5% | 1-1 @ 11.38% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 6.1% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 5.31% ( 0.05)3-3 @ 1.45% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.21% Total : 24.45% | 1-2 @ 7.75% ( 0.05) 0-1 @ 7.23% ( 0.09)0-2 @ 4.92% ( 0.07)1-3 @ 3.51% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 2.77% ( 0)0-3 @ 2.23% ( 0.04)1-4 @ 1.2% ( 0.01)2-4 @ 0.94% ( 0)Other @ 2.51% Total : 33.05% |
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