SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pogon Szczecin win with a probability of 49.66%. A win for Jagiellonia Bialystok had a probability of 28.24% and a draw had a probability of 22.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Pogon Szczecin win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.8%) and 2-0 (6.57%). The likeliest Jagiellonia Bialystok win was 1-2 (6.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.63%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Pogon Szczecin in this match.
| Result | ||
| Pogon Szczecin | Draw | Jagiellonia Bialystok |
49.66% ( -0.37) | 22.1% ( 0.15) | 28.24% ( 0.23) |
| Both teams to score 64.73% ( -0.36) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 64.97% ( -0.55) | 35.03% ( 0.56) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 42.98% ( -0.62) | 57.02% ( 0.62) |
| Pogon Szczecin Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.51% ( -0.32) | 14.5% ( 0.32) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 57.51% ( -0.63) | 42.49% ( 0.63) |
| Jagiellonia Bialystok Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.7% ( -0.14) | 24.3% ( 0.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.32% ( -0.2) | 58.68% ( 0.2) |
| Score Analysis |
| Pogon Szczecin | Draw | Jagiellonia Bialystok |
| 2-1 @ 9.29% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 6.8% ( 0.11)2-0 @ 6.57% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 5.98% ( -0.06)3-2 @ 4.23% ( -0.06)3-0 @ 4.23% ( -0.03)4-1 @ 2.89% ( -0.07)4-2 @ 2.04% ( -0.05)4-0 @ 2.04% ( -0.04)5-1 @ 1.12% ( -0.04)4-3 @ 0.96% ( -0.03)Other @ 3.5% Total : 49.66% | 1-1 @ 9.63% ( 0.12) 2-2 @ 6.57% ( -0.02)0-0 @ 3.52% ( 0.1)3-3 @ 2% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.38% Total : 22.1% | 1-2 @ 6.81% ( 0.06) 0-1 @ 4.98% ( 0.12)0-2 @ 3.53% ( 0.07)1-3 @ 3.21% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 3.1% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 1.66% ( 0.03)1-4 @ 1.14% ( 0)2-4 @ 1.1% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.72% Total : 28.24% |
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