Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Jaro win with a probability of 60.65%. A draw had a probability of 20.9% and a win for Lahti had a probability of 18.42%.
The most likely scoreline for a Jaro win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.68%) and 1-0 (9.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.78%), while for a Lahti win it was 1-2 (5.03%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Jaro would win this match.