SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Haka win with a probability of 47.11%. A win for Lahti had a probability of 30.66% and a draw had a probability of 22.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Haka win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.37%) and 2-0 (6.03%). The likeliest Lahti win was 1-2 (7.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.54%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Haka | Draw | Lahti |
47.11% ( 0.24) | 22.23% ( -0) | 30.66% ( -0.23) |
| Both teams to score 65.98% ( -0.13) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 65.91% ( -0.11) | 34.09% ( 0.11) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 44.03% ( -0.12) | 55.97% ( 0.13) |
| Haka Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.98% ( 0.04) | 15.02% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 56.5% ( 0.08) | 43.5% ( -0.08) |
| Lahti Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.64% ( -0.19) | 22.36% ( 0.19) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.15% ( -0.28) | 55.85% ( 0.28) |
| Score Analysis |
| Haka | Draw | Lahti |
| 2-1 @ 9.04% ( 0.03) 1-0 @ 6.37% ( 0.04)2-0 @ 6.03% ( 0.05)3-1 @ 5.71% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 4.28% ( -0)3-0 @ 3.81% ( 0.04)4-1 @ 2.71% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 2.03% ( 0)4-0 @ 1.81% ( 0.02)5-1 @ 1.03% ( 0.01)4-3 @ 1.01% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.29% Total : 47.11% | 1-1 @ 9.54% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 6.77% ( -0.02)0-0 @ 3.36% ( 0.02)3-3 @ 2.14% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.43% Total : 22.23% | 1-2 @ 7.14% ( -0.03) 0-1 @ 5.03% ( 0)0-2 @ 3.77% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 3.57% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 3.38% ( -0.03)0-3 @ 1.88% ( -0.02)1-4 @ 1.34% ( -0.02)2-4 @ 1.27% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.29% Total : 30.66% |
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