SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Johor Darul Ta'zim win with a probability of 69.06%. A draw had a probability of 17.4% and a win for BG Pathum United had a probability of 13.54%.
The most likely scoreline for a Johor Darul Ta'zim win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.58%) and 1-0 (8.06%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.92%), while for a BG Pathum United win it was 1-2 (3.89%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Johor Darul Ta'zim would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Johor Darul Ta'zim | Draw | BG Pathum United |
69.06% ( -0.21) | 17.4% ( 0.04) | 13.54% ( 0.16) |
| Both teams to score 56.97% ( 0.34) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 66.04% ( 0.2) | 33.95% ( -0.2) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 44.19% ( 0.23) | 55.81% ( -0.23) |
| Johor Darul Ta'zim Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 91.09% ( 0) | 8.9% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 69.57% ( 0.01) | 30.43% ( -0.02) |
| BG Pathum United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.54% ( 0.37) | 37.46% ( -0.37) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.76% ( 0.36) | 74.24% ( -0.36) |
| Score Analysis |
| Johor Darul Ta'zim | Draw | BG Pathum United |
| 2-0 @ 9.75% ( -0.1) 2-1 @ 9.58% ( 0)1-0 @ 8.06% ( -0.08)3-0 @ 7.87% ( -0.08)3-1 @ 7.72% ( 0)4-0 @ 4.76% ( -0.04)4-1 @ 4.67% ( 0)3-2 @ 3.79% ( 0.04)5-0 @ 2.3% ( -0.02)4-2 @ 2.29% ( 0.02)5-1 @ 2.26% ( 0)5-2 @ 1.11% ( 0.01)6-0 @ 0.93% ( -0.01)6-1 @ 0.91% ( 0)Other @ 3.04% Total : 69.06% | 1-1 @ 7.92% ( -0) 2-2 @ 4.7% ( 0.05)0-0 @ 3.33% ( -0.03)3-3 @ 1.24% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.2% Total : 17.4% | 1-2 @ 3.89% ( 0.04) 0-1 @ 3.27% ( -0)0-2 @ 1.61% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.54% ( 0.03)1-3 @ 1.27% ( 0.03)Other @ 1.96% Total : 13.54% |
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