SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Jong PSV win with a probability of 40.96%. A win for Jong FC Utrecht had a probability of 35.66% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Jong PSV win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.78%) and 0-2 (5.63%). The likeliest Jong FC Utrecht win was 2-1 (8.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.42%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Jong PSV would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Jong FC Utrecht | Draw | Jong PSV |
35.66% ( 0.34) | 23.39% ( 0.02) | 40.96% ( -0.36) |
| Both teams to score 63.6% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.98% ( -0.04) | 38.02% ( 0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.72% ( -0.04) | 60.28% ( 0.05) |
| Jong FC Utrecht Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.5% ( 0.16) | 21.5% ( -0.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.46% ( 0.24) | 54.54% ( -0.23) |
| Jong PSV Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.01% ( -0.17) | 18.99% ( 0.18) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.47% ( -0.29) | 50.53% ( 0.29) |
| Score Analysis |
| Jong FC Utrecht | Draw | Jong PSV |
| 2-1 @ 8.01% ( 0.05) 1-0 @ 6.28% ( 0.04)2-0 @ 4.82% ( 0.06)3-1 @ 4.11% ( 0.04)3-2 @ 3.41% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 2.47% ( 0.04)4-1 @ 1.58% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 1.31% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 0.95% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.72% Total : 35.66% | 1-1 @ 10.42% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 6.66% ( 0)0-0 @ 4.08% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.89% ( -0)Other @ 0.34% Total : 23.38% | 1-2 @ 8.66% ( -0.04) 0-1 @ 6.78% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 5.63% ( -0.05)1-3 @ 4.8% ( -0.05)2-3 @ 3.69% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 3.12% ( -0.05)1-4 @ 1.99% ( -0.03)2-4 @ 1.53% ( -0.02)0-4 @ 1.3% ( -0.03)Other @ 3.46% Total : 40.96% |
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