SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a De Graafschap win with a probability of 78.51%. A draw had a probability of 13.1% and a win for Jong FC Utrecht had a probability of 8.44%.
The most likely scoreline for a De Graafschap win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.26%) and 2-1 (8.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.81%), while for a Jong FC Utrecht win it was 1-2 (2.56%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| De Graafschap | Draw | Jong FC Utrecht |
78.51% ( -0.18) | 13.05% ( 0.18) | 8.44% ( -0) |
| Both teams to score 55.41% ( -0.91) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 72.89% ( -1.01) | 27.11% ( 1.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 52.37% ( -1.29) | 47.63% ( 1.29) |
| De Graafschap Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 94.52% ( -0.23) | 5.48% ( 0.23) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 78.6% ( -0.68) | 21.4% ( 0.68) |
| Jong FC Utrecht Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.62% ( -0.81) | 41.38% ( 0.81) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.11% ( -0.73) | 77.89% ( 0.73) |
| Score Analysis |
| De Graafschap | Draw | Jong FC Utrecht |
| 2-0 @ 9.56% ( 0.32) 3-0 @ 9.26% ( 0.17)2-1 @ 8.44% ( 0.1)3-1 @ 8.17% ( -0.03)4-0 @ 6.72% ( 0.03)1-0 @ 6.59% ( 0.31)4-1 @ 5.93% ( -0.11)5-0 @ 3.9% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 3.6% ( -0.09)5-1 @ 3.44% ( -0.12)4-2 @ 2.62% ( -0.11)6-0 @ 1.89% ( -0.05)6-1 @ 1.67% ( -0.08)5-2 @ 1.52% ( -0.09)Other @ 5.21% Total : 78.51% | 1-1 @ 5.81% ( 0.15) 2-2 @ 3.72% ( -0.04)0-0 @ 2.27% ( 0.14)3-3 @ 1.06% ( -0.05)Other @ 0.19% Total : 13.05% | 1-2 @ 2.56% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 2% ( 0.08)2-3 @ 1.1% ( -0.04)Other @ 2.78% Total : 8.44% |
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