SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roda JC win with a probability of 41.94%. A win for Jong PSV had a probability of 35.03% and a draw had a probability of 23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Roda JC win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.49%) and 0-2 (5.58%). The likeliest Jong PSV win was 2-1 (7.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.1%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Roda JC would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Jong PSV | Draw | Roda JC |
35.03% ( 0.09) | 23.03% ( -0) | 41.94% ( -0.08) |
| Both teams to score 64.81% ( 0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 63.62% ( 0.04) | 36.38% ( -0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 41.49% ( 0.04) | 58.51% ( -0.03) |
| Jong PSV Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.93% ( 0.07) | 21.07% ( -0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.12% ( 0.1) | 53.88% ( -0.09) |
| Roda JC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.11% ( -0.02) | 17.89% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.33% ( -0.04) | 48.68% ( 0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| Jong PSV | Draw | Roda JC |
| 2-1 @ 7.87% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 5.87% ( 0)2-0 @ 4.57% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 4.08% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 3.51% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 2.37% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.59% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.37% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 0.92% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.87% Total : 35.03% | 1-1 @ 10.1% 2-2 @ 6.77% ( 0)0-0 @ 3.77% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 2.02% ( 0)Other @ 0.38% Total : 23.03% | 1-2 @ 8.69% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 6.49% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 5.58% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 4.99% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 3.88% ( -0)0-3 @ 3.2% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 2.15% ( -0)2-4 @ 1.67% ( -0)0-4 @ 1.38% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.91% Total : 41.94% |
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