Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Jong PSV win with a probability of 45.87%. A win for Jong Ajax had a probability of 32.11% and a draw had a probability of 22%.

The most likely scoreline for a Jong PSV win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (5.84%) and 3-1 (5.61%). The likeliest Jong Ajax win was 1-2 (7.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.21%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood.

Result
Jong PSV	Draw	Jong Ajax
45.87% ( -0.99)	22.02% ( 0.13)	32.11% ( 0.87)

Both teams to score 67.6% (

-0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

67.7% (

-0.21)

32.3% (

0.21)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

46.09% (

-0.24)

53.91% (

0.24)

Jong PSV Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.23% (

-0.42)

14.77% (

0.42)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

56.98% (

-0.81)

43.02% (

0.81)

Jong Ajax Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.32% (

0.37)

20.68% (

-0.37)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.73% (

0.58)

53.27% (

-0.58)

Score Analysis

Jong PSV 45.87%

Jong Ajax 32.11%

Draw 22.02%

Jong PSV	Draw	Jong Ajax
2-1 @ 8.8% ( -0.07) 1-0 @ 5.84% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 5.61% ( -0.13) 2-0 @ 5.59% ( -0.11) 3-2 @ 4.42% ( -0.05) 3-0 @ 3.56% ( -0.12) 4-1 @ 2.68% ( -0.1) 4-2 @ 2.12% ( -0.06) 4-0 @ 1.7% ( -0.08) 4-3 @ 1.11% ( -0.02) 5-1 @ 1.03% ( -0.05) Other @ 3.41% Total : 45.87%	1-1 @ 9.21% ( 0.07) 2-2 @ 6.94% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 3.05% ( 0.03) 3-3 @ 2.32% ( 0) Other @ 0.5% Total : 22.02%	1-2 @ 7.26% ( 0.13) 0-1 @ 4.81% ( 0.11) 1-3 @ 3.81% ( 0.11) 0-2 @ 3.79% ( 0.13) 2-3 @ 3.65% ( 0.05) 0-3 @ 1.99% ( 0.09) 1-4 @ 1.5% ( 0.06) 2-4 @ 1.44% ( 0.04) 3-4 @ 0.92% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.94% Total : 32.11%