SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Jong PSV win with a probability of 52.32%. A win for TOP Oss had a probability of 26.08% and a draw had a probability of 21.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Jong PSV win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (6.88%) and 1-0 (6.85%). The likeliest TOP Oss win was 1-2 (6.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.38%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Jong PSV would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Jong PSV | Draw | TOP Oss |
52.32% ( 1.37) | 21.6% ( -0.37) | 26.08% ( -1) |
| Both teams to score 64.58% ( 0.4) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 65.6% ( 0.93) | 34.39% ( -0.93) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 43.69% ( 1.04) | 56.31% ( -1.04) |
| Jong PSV Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.58% ( 0.76) | 13.42% ( -0.76) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 59.63% ( 1.51) | 40.37% ( -1.51) |
| TOP Oss Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.59% ( -0.2) | 25.41% ( 0.2) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.77% ( -0.27) | 60.22% ( 0.27) |
| Score Analysis |
| Jong PSV | Draw | TOP Oss |
| 2-1 @ 9.42% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 6.88% ( 0.06)1-0 @ 6.85% ( -0.14)3-1 @ 6.31% ( 0.19)3-0 @ 4.61% ( 0.16)3-2 @ 4.32% ( 0.11)4-1 @ 3.17% ( 0.18)4-0 @ 2.31% ( 0.14)4-2 @ 2.17% ( 0.11)5-1 @ 1.27% ( 0.11)4-3 @ 0.99% ( 0.05)5-0 @ 0.93% ( 0.08)Other @ 3.09% Total : 52.32% | 1-1 @ 9.38% ( -0.24) 2-2 @ 6.45% ( -0.02)0-0 @ 3.41% ( -0.17)3-3 @ 1.97% ( 0.04)Other @ 0.38% Total : 21.6% | 1-2 @ 6.43% ( -0.2) 0-1 @ 4.67% ( -0.25)0-2 @ 3.2% ( -0.19)2-3 @ 2.95% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 2.94% ( -0.11)0-3 @ 1.46% ( -0.1)2-4 @ 1.01% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 1.01% ( -0.04)Other @ 2.42% Total : 26.08% |
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