SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Jong PSV win with a probability of 49.42%. A win for Jong FC Utrecht had a probability of 29.21% and a draw had a probability of 21.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Jong PSV win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (6.08%) and 2-0 (5.82%). The likeliest Jong FC Utrecht win was 1-2 (6.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.78%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Jong PSV would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Jong PSV | Draw | Jong FC Utrecht |
49.42% ( -1.2) | 21.37% ( 0.37) | 29.21% ( 0.83) |
| Both teams to score 68.26% ( -0.77) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 69.27% ( -1.26) | 30.73% ( 1.26) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 47.94% ( -1.51) | 52.06% ( 1.51) |
| Jong PSV Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.97% ( -0.81) | 13.03% ( 0.8) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 60.42% ( -1.67) | 39.57% ( 1.66) |
| Jong FC Utrecht Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.48% ( -0.16) | 21.51% ( 0.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.43% ( -0.25) | 54.57% ( 0.24) |
| Score Analysis |
| Jong PSV | Draw | Jong FC Utrecht |
| 2-1 @ 8.94% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 6.08% ( -0.16)2-0 @ 5.82% ( 0.05)1-0 @ 5.71% ( 0.23)3-2 @ 4.67% ( -0.15)3-0 @ 3.96% ( -0.09)4-1 @ 3.1% ( -0.18)4-2 @ 2.38% ( -0.15)4-0 @ 2.02% ( -0.11)5-1 @ 1.26% ( -0.12)4-3 @ 1.22% ( -0.08)5-2 @ 0.97% ( -0.09)Other @ 3.3% Total : 49.42% | 1-1 @ 8.78% ( 0.31) 2-2 @ 6.87% 0-0 @ 2.8% ( 0.19)3-3 @ 2.39% ( -0.09)Other @ 0.53% Total : 21.37% | 1-2 @ 6.74% ( 0.2) 0-1 @ 4.31% ( 0.28)2-3 @ 3.52% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 3.45% ( 0.09)0-2 @ 3.31% ( 0.2)0-3 @ 1.69% ( 0.09)2-4 @ 1.35% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 1.33% ( 0.03)3-4 @ 0.92% ( -0.04)Other @ 2.59% Total : 29.21% |
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