Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a ADO Den Haag win with a probability of 44.34%. A win for Jong PSV had a probability of 32.59% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.
The most likely scoreline for an ADO Den Haag win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.93%) and 0-2 (6.08%). The likeliest Jong PSV win was 2-1 (7.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.23%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood.