Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a ADO Den Haag win with a probability of 44.31%. A win for Jong AZ had a probability of 32.96% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.
The most likely scoreline for an ADO Den Haag win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.48%) and 2-0 (5.82%). The likeliest Jong AZ win was 1-2 (7.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.88%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood.
Result | ||
ADO Den Haag | Draw | Jong AZ |
44.31% ( 0.09) | 22.72% ( -0.03) | 32.96% ( -0.06) |
Both teams to score 65.29% ( 0.08) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
64.53% ( 0.11) | 35.47% ( -0.11) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
42.49% ( 0.12) | 57.51% ( -0.12) |
ADO Den Haag Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.42% ( 0.08) | 16.58% ( -0.08) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
53.63% ( 0.14) | 46.37% ( -0.14) |
Jong AZ Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.26% ( 0.02) | 21.73% ( -0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.09% ( 0.03) | 54.91% ( -0.03) |
Score Analysis |
ADO Den Haag | Draw | Jong AZ |
2-1 @ 8.88% ( 0) 1-0 @ 6.48% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 5.82% ( -0) 3-1 @ 5.32% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 4.06% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 3.49% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 2.39% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.82% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.57% ( 0.01) 4-3 @ 0.93% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.56% Total : 44.31% | 1-1 @ 9.88% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 6.78% ( 0) 0-0 @ 3.6% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 2.07% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.4% Total : 22.72% | 1-2 @ 7.54% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 5.5% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 4.2% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 3.84% ( -0) 2-3 @ 3.45% ( 0) 0-3 @ 2.14% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 1.46% ( -0) 2-4 @ 1.32% ( 0) Other @ 3.53% Total : 32.96% |
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