SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a ADO Den Haag win with a probability of 50.5%. A win for Jong PSV had a probability of 25.41% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for an ADO Den Haag win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.62%) and 0-2 (8.54%). The likeliest Jong PSV win was 1-0 (6.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.39%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that ADO Den Haag would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Jong PSV | Draw | ADO Den Haag |
25.41% ( 1.26) | 24.09% ( 0.33) | 50.5% ( -1.58) |
| Both teams to score 55.1% ( 0.26) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.42% ( -0.29) | 46.58% ( 0.29) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.15% ( -0.27) | 68.85% ( 0.27) |
| Jong PSV Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.59% ( 0.9) | 32.41% ( -0.89) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.08% ( 1) | 68.92% ( -0.99) |
| ADO Den Haag Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.52% ( -0.71) | 18.48% ( 0.71) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.32% ( -1.21) | 49.68% ( 1.22) |
| Score Analysis |
| Jong PSV | Draw | ADO Den Haag |
| 1-0 @ 6.75% ( 0.24) 2-1 @ 6.42% ( 0.24)2-0 @ 3.8% ( 0.23)3-1 @ 2.41% ( 0.15)3-2 @ 2.04% ( 0.08)3-0 @ 1.43% ( 0.12)Other @ 2.56% Total : 25.41% | 1-1 @ 11.39% ( 0.15) 0-0 @ 5.99% ( 0.07)2-2 @ 5.42% ( 0.08)3-3 @ 1.15% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.15% Total : 24.09% | 0-1 @ 10.11% ( -0.11) 1-2 @ 9.62% ( -0.09)0-2 @ 8.54% ( -0.29)1-3 @ 5.42% ( -0.18)0-3 @ 4.81% ( -0.28)2-3 @ 3.05% ( -0.02)1-4 @ 2.29% ( -0.13)0-4 @ 2.03% ( -0.17)2-4 @ 1.29% ( -0.04)Other @ 3.36% Total : 50.5% |
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