Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Tokyo win with a probability of 43.93%. A win for Jubilo Iwata had a probability of 32.2% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Tokyo win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.9%) and 0-2 (6.54%). The likeliest Jubilo Iwata win was 2-1 (7.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.95%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood.

Result
Jubilo Iwata	Draw	FC Tokyo
32.2% ( 0.12)	23.87% ( -0)	43.93% ( -0.12)

Both teams to score 60.7% (

0.07)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

58.65% (

0.06)

41.35% (

-0.06)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

36.25% (

0.06)

63.75% (

-0.06)

Jubilo Iwata Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.02% (

0.1)

24.98% (

-0.1)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.37% (

0.14)

59.63% (

-0.14)

FC Tokyo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.92% (

-0.02)

19.08% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.31% (

-0.04)

50.69% (

0.04)

Score Analysis

Jubilo Iwata 32.2%

FC Tokyo 43.93%

Draw 23.87%

Jubilo Iwata	Draw	FC Tokyo
2-1 @ 7.6% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 6.61% ( 0) 2-0 @ 4.59% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 3.51% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 2.91% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 2.12% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.22% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.01% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.64% Total : 32.2%	1-1 @ 10.95% 2-2 @ 6.29% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 4.77% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.61% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.25% Total : 23.87%	1-2 @ 9.07% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 7.9% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 6.54% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 5.01% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 3.61% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 3.47% ( 0) 1-4 @ 2.07% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 1.5% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 1.44% Other @ 3.33% Total : 43.93%