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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Yokohama F Marinos win with a probability of 51.57%. A win for Jubilo Iwata had a probability of 26.62% and a draw had a probability of 21.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Yokohama F Marinos win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.93%) and 0-2 (6.85%). The likeliest Jubilo Iwata win was 2-1 (6.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.52%). The actual scoreline of 3-4 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Yokohama F Marinos would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Jubilo Iwata | Draw | Yokohama F Marinos |
26.62% ( -2.58) | 21.81% ( -0.51) | 51.57% ( 3.09) |
| Both teams to score 64.34% ( -0.32) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 65.07% ( 0.49) | 34.93% ( -0.49) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 43.09% ( 0.55) | 56.91% ( -0.55) |
| Jubilo Iwata Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.67% ( -1.43) | 25.33% ( 1.43) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.89% ( -2.01) | 60.11% ( 2.01) |
| Yokohama F Marinos Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.16% ( 1.2) | 13.84% ( -1.2) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 58.79% ( 2.32) | 41.21% ( -2.32) |
| Score Analysis |
| Jubilo Iwata | Draw | Yokohama F Marinos |
| 2-1 @ 6.54% ( -0.44) 1-0 @ 4.81% ( -0.33)2-0 @ 3.31% ( -0.38)3-1 @ 2.99% ( -0.34)3-2 @ 2.96% ( -0.19)3-0 @ 1.51% ( -0.24)4-1 @ 1.03% ( -0.16)4-2 @ 1.02% ( -0.11)Other @ 2.46% Total : 26.62% | 1-1 @ 9.52% ( -0.23) 2-2 @ 6.46% ( -0.14)0-0 @ 3.51% ( -0.09)3-3 @ 1.95% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.37% Total : 21.81% | 1-2 @ 9.41% ( 0.18) 0-1 @ 6.93% ( 0.12)0-2 @ 6.85% ( 0.41)1-3 @ 6.21% ( 0.38)0-3 @ 4.52% ( 0.45)2-3 @ 4.26% ( 0.09)1-4 @ 3.07% ( 0.31)0-4 @ 2.23% ( 0.31)2-4 @ 2.11% ( 0.13)1-5 @ 1.21% ( 0.17)3-4 @ 0.96% ( 0.02)Other @ 3.8% Total : 51.57% |
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