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J1 League | Gameweek 10
Apr 27, 2024 at 6am UK
Yamaha Stadium

Jubilo Iwata
2 - 0
Machida Zelvia

Matsubara (46'), Germain (70' pen.)
Kanuma (49')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Shoji (69')
Coverage of the J1 League clash between Jubilo Iwata and Machida Zelvia.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Avispa Fukuoka 2-2 Jubilo Iwata
Saturday, April 20 at 7am in J1 League
Last Game: FC Tokyo 1-2 Machida Zelvia
Sunday, April 21 at 7am in J1 League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Machida Zelvia win with a probability of 40.77%. A win for Jubilo Iwata had a probability of 32.96% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Machida Zelvia win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.65%) and 0-2 (7.1%). The likeliest Jubilo Iwata win was 1-0 (9.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.49%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood.

Result
Jubilo IwataDrawMachida Zelvia
32.96% (0.011000000000003 0.01) 26.27% (0.004999999999999 0) 40.77% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)
Both teams to score 52.78% (-0.012 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.22% (-0.016999999999996 -0.02)51.78% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.45% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)73.54% (0.013000000000005 0.01)
Jubilo Iwata Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.41% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)29.58% (0.0010000000000012 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.38% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)65.61% (-0.00099999999999056 -0)
Machida Zelvia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.96% (-0.016000000000005 -0.02)25.04% (0.014000000000003 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.29% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)59.71% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Jubilo Iwata 32.96%
    Machida Zelvia 40.76%
    Draw 26.26%
Jubilo IwataDrawMachida Zelvia
1-0 @ 9.02% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
2-1 @ 7.61% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-0 @ 5.49% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-1 @ 3.09% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-0 @ 2.23% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-2 @ 2.14% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-1 @ 0.94%
Other @ 2.44%
Total : 32.96%
1-1 @ 12.49%
0-0 @ 7.41% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.27% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-3 @ 0.99% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 26.26%
0-1 @ 10.25%
1-2 @ 8.65% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
0-2 @ 7.1% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-3 @ 3.99% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-3 @ 3.28% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
2-3 @ 2.43% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-4 @ 1.38% (-0.002 -0)
0-4 @ 1.14% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 2.54%
Total : 40.76%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Avispa Fukuoka 2-2 Jubilo Iwata
Saturday, April 20 at 7am in J1 League
Last Game: Jubilo Iwata 0-1 Nagoya Grampus
Saturday, April 13 at 6am in J1 League
Last Game: Kyoto Sanga 0-3 Jubilo Iwata
Sunday, April 7 at 6am in J1 League
Last Game: Jubilo Iwata 2-0 Albirex Niigata
Wednesday, April 3 at 11am in J1 League
Last Game: Kashima Antlers 1-0 Jubilo Iwata
Saturday, March 30 at 6am in J1 League
Last Game: Gamba Osaka 2-1 Jubilo Iwata
Saturday, March 16 at 6am in J1 League
Last Game: FC Tokyo 1-2 Machida Zelvia
Sunday, April 21 at 7am in J1 League
Last Game: Machida Zelvia 1-2 Vissel Kobe
Saturday, April 13 at 7am in J1 League
Last Game: Kawasaki 0-1 Machida Zelvia
Sunday, April 7 at 7am in J1 League
Last Game: Machida Zelvia 1-2 Hiroshima
Wednesday, April 3 at 11am in J1 League
Last Game: Machida Zelvia 3-1 Sagan Tosu
Saturday, March 30 at 6am in J1 League
Last Game: Consadole 1-2 Machida Zelvia
Saturday, March 16 at 5am in J1 League


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