Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Jubilo Iwata win with a probability of 40.12%. A win for Gamba Osaka had a probability of 34.24% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Jubilo Iwata win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.66%) and 0-2 (6.67%). The likeliest Gamba Osaka win was 1-0 (8.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.14%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood.
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