Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cuiaba win with a probability of 38.96%. A win for Juventude had a probability of 34.54% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cuiaba win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.41%) and 0-2 (6.78%). The likeliest Juventude win was 1-0 (9.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.6%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood.