Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cuiaba win with a probability of 55.97%. A draw had a probability of 26.2% and a win for Juventude had a probability of 17.88%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cuiaba win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.22%) and 2-1 (8.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.72%), while for a Juventude win it was 0-1 (7.81%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 16.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Cuiaba in this match.
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