Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vasco da Gama win with a probability of 48.79%. A draw had a probability of 27.4% and a win for Cuiaba had a probability of 23.78%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vasco da Gama win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.99%) and 2-1 (8.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.64%), while for a Cuiaba win it was 0-1 (9.11%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Vasco da Gama in this match.
-0.6) 
0.22) 
