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Coppa Italia | Quarter-Finals
Jan 11, 2024 at 8pm UK
Allianz Stadium
FL

Juventus
4 - 0
Frosinone

Milik (11' pen., 38', 48'), Yildiz (61')
Locatelli (20'), Kostic (32'), Gatti (72')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Juventus 2-1 Frosinone

Juventus have never lost to Frosinone in Serie A, winning six of seven league encounters, and they are not likely to be beaten in midweek. Despite eliminating Torino and Napoli from the Coppa Italia, the Canarini's away record makes for grim reading, so their talented kids surely cannot cope with rejuvenated Juve. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Juventus win with a probability of 63.11%. A draw had a probability of 21.2% and a win for Frosinone had a probability of 15.67%.

The most likely scoreline for a Juventus win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.57%) and 2-1 (9.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.09%), while for a Frosinone win it was 0-1 (5.18%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Juventus would win this match.

Result
JuventusDrawFrosinone
63.11% (-0.573 -0.57) 21.22% (0.351 0.35) 15.67% (0.22 0.22)
Both teams to score 49.06% (-0.62 -0.62)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.96% (-1.096 -1.1)47.04% (1.094 1.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.72% (-1.03 -1.03)69.28% (1.028 1.03)
Juventus Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.73% (-0.524 -0.52)14.27% (0.523 0.52)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.94% (-1.032 -1.03)42.05% (1.03 1.03)
Frosinone Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.22% (-0.371 -0.37)42.77% (0.369 0.37)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.9% (-0.318 -0.32)79.1% (0.318 0.32)
Score Analysis
    Juventus 63.11%
    Frosinone 15.67%
    Draw 21.22%
JuventusDrawFrosinone
1-0 @ 11.88% (0.32 0.32)
2-0 @ 11.57% (0.1 0.1)
2-1 @ 9.83% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
3-0 @ 7.51% (-0.082999999999999 -0.08)
3-1 @ 6.38% (-0.137 -0.14)
4-0 @ 3.66% (-0.111 -0.11)
4-1 @ 3.1% (-0.127 -0.13)
3-2 @ 2.71% (-0.086 -0.09)
5-0 @ 1.42% (-0.072 -0.07)
4-2 @ 1.32% (-0.068 -0.07)
5-1 @ 1.21% (-0.073 -0.07)
Other @ 2.53%
Total : 63.11%
1-1 @ 10.09% (0.166 0.17)
0-0 @ 6.1% (0.275 0.28)
2-2 @ 4.17% (-0.052 -0.05)
Other @ 0.85%
Total : 21.22%
0-1 @ 5.18% (0.183 0.18)
1-2 @ 4.29% (0.028 0.03)
0-2 @ 2.2% (0.056 0.06)
1-3 @ 1.21% (-0.004 -0)
2-3 @ 1.18% (-0.027 -0.03)
Other @ 1.6%
Total : 15.67%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Salernitana 1-2 Juventus
Sunday, January 7 at 5pm in Serie A
Last Game: Juventus 6-1 Salernitana
Thursday, January 4 at 8pm in Coppa Italia
Last Game: Juventus 1-0 Roma
Saturday, December 30 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Frosinone 1-2 Juventus
Saturday, December 23 at 11.30am in Serie A
Last Game: Genoa 1-1 Juventus
Friday, December 15 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Juventus 1-0 Napoli
Friday, December 8 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Frosinone 2-3 Monza
Saturday, January 6 at 2pm in Serie A
Last Game: Lazio 3-1 Frosinone
Friday, December 29 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Frosinone 1-2 Juventus
Saturday, December 23 at 11.30am in Serie A
Last Game: Napoli 0-4 Frosinone
Tuesday, December 19 at 8pm in Coppa Italia
Last Game: Lecce 2-1 Frosinone
Saturday, December 16 at 2pm in Serie A
Last Game: Frosinone 0-0 Torino
Sunday, December 10 at 11.30am in Serie A


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