Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Juventus win with a probability of 63.11%. A draw had a probability of 21.2% and a win for Frosinone had a probability of 15.67%.
The most likely scoreline for a Juventus win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.57%) and 2-1 (9.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.09%), while for a Frosinone win it was 0-1 (5.18%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Juventus would win this match.
Result | ||
Juventus | Draw | Frosinone |
63.11% ( -0.57) | 21.22% ( 0.35) | 15.67% ( 0.22) |
Both teams to score 49.06% ( -0.62) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.96% ( -1.1) | 47.04% ( 1.09) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.72% ( -1.03) | 69.28% ( 1.03) |
Juventus Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.73% ( -0.52) | 14.27% ( 0.52) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
57.94% ( -1.03) | 42.05% ( 1.03) |
Frosinone Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
57.22% ( -0.37) | 42.77% ( 0.37) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
20.9% ( -0.32) | 79.1% ( 0.32) |
Score Analysis |
Juventus | Draw | Frosinone |
1-0 @ 11.88% ( 0.32) 2-0 @ 11.57% ( 0.1) 2-1 @ 9.83% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 7.51% ( -0.08) 3-1 @ 6.38% ( -0.14) 4-0 @ 3.66% ( -0.11) 4-1 @ 3.1% ( -0.13) 3-2 @ 2.71% ( -0.09) 5-0 @ 1.42% ( -0.07) 4-2 @ 1.32% ( -0.07) 5-1 @ 1.21% ( -0.07) Other @ 2.53% Total : 63.11% | 1-1 @ 10.09% ( 0.17) 0-0 @ 6.1% ( 0.28) 2-2 @ 4.17% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.85% Total : 21.22% | 0-1 @ 5.18% ( 0.18) 1-2 @ 4.29% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 2.2% ( 0.06) 1-3 @ 1.21% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.18% ( -0.03) Other @ 1.6% Total : 15.67% |
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