Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Frosinone win with a probability of 52.35%. A draw had a probability of 25.3% and a win for Pisa had a probability of 22.33%.
The most likely scoreline for a Frosinone win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.11%) and 2-1 (9.42%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.97%), while for a Pisa win it was 0-1 (7.61%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Frosinone in this match.
-0.07) 
0.01) 
