Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Juventus win with a probability of 37.01%. A win for Napoli had a probability of 36.2% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Juventus win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.12%) and 2-0 (6.45%). The likeliest Napoli win was 0-1 (9.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.73%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Juventus in this match.

Result
Juventus	Draw	Napoli
37.01% ( 0)	26.79% ( -0)	36.2% ( -0)

Both teams to score 51.6% (

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.5%

53.5% (

-0)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.98%

75.02% (

-0)

Juventus Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.08% (

27.92% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.45% (

63.55% (

-0)

Napoli Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.6% (

-0)

28.4%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.85% (

-0)

64.15% (

-0)

Score Analysis

Juventus 37%

Napoli 36.2%

Draw 26.78%

Juventus	Draw	Napoli
1-0 @ 10.11% 2-1 @ 8.12% 2-0 @ 6.45% ( 0) 3-1 @ 3.45% 3-0 @ 2.74% 3-2 @ 2.17% 4-1 @ 1.1% ( 0) Other @ 2.84% Total : 37%	1-1 @ 12.73% 0-0 @ 7.93% ( -0) 2-2 @ 5.11% 3-3 @ 0.91% Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.78%	0-1 @ 9.98% ( -0) 1-2 @ 8.02% 0-2 @ 6.28% ( -0) 1-3 @ 3.36% 0-3 @ 2.64% 2-3 @ 2.15% 1-4 @ 1.06% Other @ 2.72% Total : 36.2%