Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Juventus win with a probability of 37.01%. A win for Napoli had a probability of 36.2% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Juventus win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.12%) and 2-0 (6.45%). The likeliest Napoli win was 0-1 (9.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.73%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Juventus in this match.
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