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Serie A | Gameweek 17
Dec 23, 2023 at 11.30am UK
Stadio Benito Stirpe
JL

Frosinone
1 - 2
Juventus

Baez (51')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Yildiz (12'), Vlahovic (81')
Cambiaso (20'), McKennie (43')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Napoli 0-4 Frosinone
Tuesday, December 19 at 8pm in Coppa Italia
Last Game: Genoa 1-1 Juventus
Friday, December 15 at 7.45pm in Serie A

We said: Frosinone 0-1 Juventus

After both clubs veered from the script last time out, it will be business as usual for 1-0 specialists Juventus, who will have to withstand the threat of several young players developed in their Under-23 side. Frosinone may have borrowed some talented kids, but Juve's hard-bitten nous should secure them three more points in the Scudetto race. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Juventus win with a probability of 45%. A win for Frosinone had a probability of 28.73% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Juventus win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.01%) and 0-2 (8.21%). The likeliest Frosinone win was 1-0 (8.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.48%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Juventus would win this match.

Result
FrosinoneDrawJuventus
28.73% (-0.203 -0.2) 26.27% (0.293 0.29) 45% (-0.094000000000001 -0.09)
Both teams to score 50.89% (-1.028 -1.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.66% (-1.273 -1.27)53.34% (1.268 1.27)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.12% (-1.087 -1.09)74.88% (1.084 1.08)
Frosinone Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.63% (-0.821 -0.82)33.37% (0.817 0.82)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.01% (-0.909 -0.91)69.99% (0.905 0.91)
Juventus Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.38% (-0.596 -0.6)23.62% (0.59 0.59)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.29% (-0.86499999999999 -0.86)57.71% (0.861 0.86)
Score Analysis
    Frosinone 28.73%
    Juventus 45%
    Draw 26.27%
FrosinoneDrawJuventus
1-0 @ 8.65% (0.237 0.24)
2-1 @ 6.85% (-0.082 -0.08)
2-0 @ 4.75% (0.026 0.03)
3-1 @ 2.51% (-0.087 -0.09)
3-2 @ 1.81% (-0.096 -0.1)
3-0 @ 1.74% (-0.03 -0.03)
Other @ 2.43%
Total : 28.73%
1-1 @ 12.48% (0.13 0.13)
0-0 @ 7.88% (0.385 0.39)
2-2 @ 4.94% (-0.148 -0.15)
Other @ 0.96%
Total : 26.27%
0-1 @ 11.37% (0.37 0.37)
1-2 @ 9.01% (-0.064 -0.06)
0-2 @ 8.21% (0.125 0.13)
1-3 @ 4.33% (-0.107 -0.11)
0-3 @ 3.95% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.38% (-0.114 -0.11)
1-4 @ 1.56% (-0.067 -0.07)
0-4 @ 1.42% (-0.028 -0.03)
Other @ 2.77%
Total : 45%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Napoli 0-4 Frosinone
Tuesday, December 19 at 8pm in Coppa Italia
Last Game: Lecce 2-1 Frosinone
Saturday, December 16 at 2pm in Serie A
Last Game: Frosinone 0-0 Torino
Sunday, December 10 at 11.30am in Serie A
Last Game: AC Milan 3-1 Frosinone
Saturday, December 2 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Frosinone 2-1 Genoa
Sunday, November 26 at 2pm in Serie A
Last Game: Inter Milan 2-0 Frosinone
Sunday, November 12 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Genoa 1-1 Juventus
Friday, December 15 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Juventus 1-0 Napoli
Friday, December 8 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Monza 1-2 Juventus
Friday, December 1 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Juventus 1-1 Inter Milan
Sunday, November 26 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Juventus 2-1 Cagliari
Saturday, November 11 at 5pm in Serie A
Last Game: Fiorentina 0-1 Juventus
Sunday, November 5 at 7.45pm in Serie A


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