Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Frosinone win with a probability of 41.57%. A win for Monza had a probability of 33.26% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Frosinone win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.85%) and 2-0 (6.77%). The likeliest Monza win was 0-1 (7.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.87%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood.

Result
Frosinone	Draw	Monza
41.57% ( 0.2)	25.17% ( 0.19)	33.26% ( -0.4)

Both teams to score 56.54% (

-0.78)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.03% (

-0.96)

46.97% (

0.96)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.78% (

-0.91)

69.21% (

0.9)

Frosinone Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.49% (

-0.32)

22.51% (

0.32)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.92% (

-0.48)

56.07% (

0.48)

Monza Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.96% (

-0.71)

27.04% (

0.7)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.59% (

-0.93)

62.41% (

0.93)

Score Analysis

Frosinone 41.57%

Monza 33.26%

Draw 25.17%

Frosinone	Draw	Monza
1-0 @ 9.08% ( 0.28) 2-1 @ 8.85% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 6.77% ( 0.15) 3-1 @ 4.4% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 3.36% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 2.88% ( -0.08) 4-1 @ 1.64% ( -0.03) 4-0 @ 1.25% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.07% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.27% Total : 41.57%	1-1 @ 11.87% ( 0.14) 0-0 @ 6.09% ( 0.24) 2-2 @ 5.79% ( -0.11) 3-3 @ 1.25% ( -0.06) Other @ 0.17% Total : 25.17%	0-1 @ 7.96% ( 0.16) 1-2 @ 7.76% ( -0.07) 0-2 @ 5.21% ( 0) 1-3 @ 3.38% ( -0.1) 2-3 @ 2.52% ( -0.1) 0-3 @ 2.27% ( -0.04) 1-4 @ 1.11% ( -0.06) Other @ 3.05% Total : 33.26%