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Serie A | Gameweek 18
Dec 30, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Allianz Stadium
RL

Juventus
1 - 0
Roma

Rabiot (47')
Locatelli (77')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Paredes (68')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Frosinone 1-2 Juventus
Saturday, December 23 at 11.30am in Serie A
Last Game: Roma 2-0 Napoli
Saturday, December 23 at 7.45pm in Serie A

We said: Juventus 1-0 Roma

The 1-0 win is written deep in Juve's DNA, and a tactical tussle between Allegri and Mourinho is not likely to develop into a goalfest. A single strike could decide the points' destiny, and the Bianconeri's ability to get the job done against other top-four rivals should prove enough to see off Roma. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Juventus win with a probability of 41.67%. A win for Roma had a probability of 29.57% and a draw had a probability of 28.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Juventus win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.24%) and 2-1 (8.12%). The likeliest Roma win was 0-1 (10.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.23%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Juventus in this match.

Result
JuventusDrawRoma
41.67% (-0.454 -0.45) 28.75% (-0.217 -0.22) 29.57% (0.669 0.67)
Both teams to score 44.31% (0.854 0.85)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
38.07% (0.916 0.92)61.92% (-0.917 -0.92)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
18.31% (0.668 0.67)81.68% (-0.67 -0.67)
Juventus Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.69% (0.19500000000001 0.2)29.31% (-0.195 -0.2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.72% (0.24 0.24)65.28% (-0.241 -0.24)
Roma Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.68% (1.038 1.04)37.32% (-1.04 -1.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.89% (1.011 1.01)74.1% (-1.012 -1.01)
Score Analysis
    Juventus 41.67%
    Roma 29.57%
    Draw 28.74%
JuventusDrawRoma
1-0 @ 13.42% (-0.39 -0.39)
2-0 @ 8.24% (-0.193 -0.19)
2-1 @ 8.12% (0.040999999999999 0.04)
3-0 @ 3.37% (-0.06 -0.06)
3-1 @ 3.32% (0.035 0.04)
3-2 @ 1.64% (0.062 0.06)
4-0 @ 1.03% (-0.013 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.02% (0.016 0.02)
Other @ 1.51%
Total : 41.67%
1-1 @ 13.23%
0-0 @ 10.93% (-0.38 -0.38)
2-2 @ 4% (0.132 0.13)
Other @ 0.58%
Total : 28.74%
0-1 @ 10.78% (-0.06 -0.06)
1-2 @ 6.52% (0.179 0.18)
0-2 @ 5.31% (0.118 0.12)
1-3 @ 2.14% (0.117 0.12)
0-3 @ 1.75% (0.087 0.09)
2-3 @ 1.32% (0.079 0.08)
Other @ 1.75%
Total : 29.57%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Frosinone 1-2 Juventus
Saturday, December 23 at 11.30am in Serie A
Last Game: Genoa 1-1 Juventus
Friday, December 15 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Juventus 1-0 Napoli
Friday, December 8 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Monza 1-2 Juventus
Friday, December 1 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Juventus 1-1 Inter Milan
Sunday, November 26 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Juventus 2-1 Cagliari
Saturday, November 11 at 5pm in Serie A
Last Game: Roma 2-0 Napoli
Saturday, December 23 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Bologna 2-0 Roma
Sunday, December 17 at 5pm in Serie A
Last Game: Roma 3-0 Sheriff Tiraspol
Thursday, December 14 at 5.45pm in Europa League
Last Game: Roma 1-1 Fiorentina
Sunday, December 10 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Sassuolo 1-2 Roma
Sunday, December 3 at 5pm in Serie A
Last Game: Servette 1-1 Roma
Thursday, November 30 at 8pm in Europa League


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