SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AIK Fotboll win with a probability of 44.96%. A win for Kalmar had a probability of 30.69% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for an AIK Fotboll win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.76%) and 0-2 (7.09%). The likeliest Kalmar win was 2-1 (7.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.36%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that AIK Fotboll would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Kalmar | Draw | AIK Fotboll |
30.69% ( 0.19) | 24.34% ( 0.06) | 44.96% ( -0.25) |
| Both teams to score 58.3% ( -0.11) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.81% ( -0.19) | 44.18% ( 0.18) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.43% ( -0.18) | 66.56% ( 0.17) |
| Kalmar Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.68% ( 0.03) | 27.31% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.24% ( 0.04) | 62.75% ( -0.05) |
| AIK Fotboll Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.2% ( -0.19) | 19.79% ( 0.18) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.14% ( -0.29) | 51.85% ( 0.29) |
| Score Analysis |
| Kalmar | Draw | AIK Fotboll |
| 2-1 @ 7.38% ( 0.03) 1-0 @ 7.02% ( 0.06)2-0 @ 4.55% ( 0.04)3-1 @ 3.19% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 2.58% ( -0)3-0 @ 1.97% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 1.04% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.97% Total : 30.69% | 1-1 @ 11.36% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 5.97% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 5.41% ( 0.04)3-3 @ 1.4% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.33% | 1-2 @ 9.2% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 8.76% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 7.09% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 4.97% ( -0.04)0-3 @ 3.83% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 3.23% ( -0.02)1-4 @ 2.01% ( -0.03)0-4 @ 1.55% ( -0.02)2-4 @ 1.31% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.02% Total : 44.96% |
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