SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 42.68%. A win for Kawasaki Frontale had a probability of 33.58% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.49%) and 0-2 (6.19%). The likeliest Kawasaki Frontale win was 2-1 (7.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.79%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bayern Munich would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Kawasaki Frontale | Draw | Bayern Munich |
33.58% ( 0.19) | 23.74% ( 0.02) | 42.68% ( -0.21) |
| Both teams to score 61.71% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.74% ( -0.05) | 40.26% ( 0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.37% ( -0.06) | 62.63% ( 0.06) |
| Kawasaki Frontale Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.35% ( 0.08) | 23.65% ( -0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.25% ( 0.11) | 57.75% ( -0.11) |
| Bayern Munich Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.83% ( -0.11) | 19.17% ( 0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.16% ( -0.19) | 50.84% ( 0.19) |
| Score Analysis |
| Kawasaki Frontale | Draw | Bayern Munich |
| 2-1 @ 7.78% ( 0.03) 1-0 @ 6.54% ( 0.03)2-0 @ 4.71% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 3.74% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 3.09% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 2.27% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 1.35% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.11% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.99% Total : 33.58% | 1-1 @ 10.79% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 6.43% ( 0)0-0 @ 4.53% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.7% ( -0)Other @ 0.28% Total : 23.73% | 1-2 @ 8.92% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 7.49% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 6.19% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 4.91% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 3.54% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 3.41% ( -0.03)1-4 @ 2.03% ( -0.02)2-4 @ 1.46% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 1.41% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.33% Total : 42.68% |
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