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Bundesliga | Gameweek 34
May 27, 2023 at 2.30pm UK
RheinEnergieStadion
BL

FC Koln
1 - 2
Bayern

Ljubicic (81' pen.)
Schmitz (24'), Ljubicic (81'), Thielmann (90')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Coman (8'), Musiala (89')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Werder Bremen 1-1 FC Koln
Saturday, May 20 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 45.31%. A win for FC Koln had a probability of 32.59% and a draw had a probability of 22.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (5.84%) and 1-3 (5.54%). The likeliest FC Koln win was 2-1 (7.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.26%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Bayern Munich in this match.

Result
FC KolnDrawBayern Munich
32.59% (0.011000000000003 0.01) 22.09% (0.0020000000000024 0) 45.31% (-0.012 -0.01)
Both teams to score 67.54% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
67.53% (-0.0020000000000095 -0)32.46% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
45.89% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)54.1% (0.0039999999999978 0)
FC Koln Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.49% (0.0049999999999955 0)20.5% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.01% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)52.99% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Bayern Munich Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.96% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)15.03% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.48% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)43.52% (0.009999999999998 0.01)
Score Analysis
    FC Koln 32.59%
    Bayern Munich 45.31%
    Draw 22.09%
FC KolnDrawBayern Munich
2-1 @ 7.33% (0.0019999999999998 0)
1-0 @ 4.88% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-1 @ 3.87% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-0 @ 3.87% (0.0020000000000002 0)
3-2 @ 3.67% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-0 @ 2.04% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-1 @ 1.54% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-2 @ 1.45%
4-3 @ 0.92%
Other @ 3.01%
Total : 32.59%
1-1 @ 9.26% (0.0010000000000012 0)
2-2 @ 6.95% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-0 @ 3.08%
3-3 @ 2.32%
Other @ 0.49%
Total : 22.09%
1-2 @ 8.77% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-1 @ 5.84%
1-3 @ 5.54% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-2 @ 5.53% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-3 @ 4.39% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-3 @ 3.5% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-4 @ 2.62% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-4 @ 2.08% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-4 @ 1.66% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
3-4 @ 1.1%
1-5 @ 0.99% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 3.3%
Total : 45.31%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Werder Bremen 1-1 FC Koln
Saturday, May 20 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: FC Koln 5-2 Hertha Berlin
Friday, May 12 at 7.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: B. Leverkusen 1-2 FC Koln
Friday, May 5 at 7.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: FC Koln 0-1 Freiburg
Saturday, April 29 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Hoffenheim 1-3 FC Koln
Saturday, April 22 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: FC Koln 1-1 Mainz
Saturday, April 15 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Bayern 1-3 RB Leipzig
Saturday, May 20 at 5.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Bayern 6-0 Schalke
Saturday, May 13 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Werder Bremen 1-2 Bayern
Saturday, May 6 at 5.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Bayern 2-0 Hertha Berlin
Sunday, April 30 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Mainz 3-1 Bayern
Saturday, April 22 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Bayern 1-1 Man City
Wednesday, April 19 at 8pm in Champions League


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