SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 78.17%. A draw had a probability of 13.4% and a win for Schalke 04 had a probability of 8.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.63%) and 2-1 (8.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.13%), while for a Schalke 04 win it was 1-2 (2.57%). The actual scoreline of 6-0 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bayern Munich would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Bayern Munich | Draw | Schalke 04 |
78.17% ( 0.02) | 13.43% ( 0) | 8.4% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 53.33% ( -0.08) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 70.59% ( -0.06) | 29.4% ( 0.06) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 49.53% ( -0.07) | 50.47% ( 0.07) |
| Bayern Munich Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 93.99% ( -0.01) | 6.01% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 77.09% ( -0.03) | 22.91% ( 0.02) |
| Schalke 04 Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 56.74% ( -0.08) | 43.25% ( 0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 20.49% ( -0.07) | 79.51% ( 0.07) |
| Score Analysis |
| Bayern Munich | Draw | Schalke 04 |
| 2-0 @ 10.27% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 9.63% ( 0.02)2-1 @ 8.61% ( 0)3-1 @ 8.07% ( -0)1-0 @ 7.31% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 6.77% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 5.67% ( -0)5-0 @ 3.81% ( 0)3-2 @ 3.38% ( -0.01)5-1 @ 3.19% ( -0)4-2 @ 2.38% ( -0.01)6-0 @ 1.78% 6-1 @ 1.5% ( -0)5-2 @ 1.34% ( -0.01)Other @ 4.45% Total : 78.16% | 1-1 @ 6.13% ( 0) 2-2 @ 3.61% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 2.6% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 0.95% ( -0)Other @ 0.15% Total : 13.43% | 1-2 @ 2.57% ( -0) 0-1 @ 2.18% ( 0)2-3 @ 1.01% ( -0)0-2 @ 0.91% ( -0)Other @ 1.73% Total : 8.4% |
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