SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 45.51%. A win for Manchester City had a probability of 32.38% and a draw had a probability of 22.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (5.9%) and 2-0 (5.59%). The likeliest Manchester City win was 1-2 (7.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.29%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Manchester City in this match.
| Result | ||
| Bayern Munich | Draw | Manchester City |
45.51% ( -0.12) | 22.11% ( -0.01) | 32.38% ( 0.14) |
| Both teams to score 67.37% ( 0.12) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 67.35% ( 0.14) | 32.64% ( -0.13) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 45.68% ( 0.16) | 54.31% ( -0.15) |
| Bayern Munich Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.96% ( 0.01) | 15.03% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 56.48% ( 0.02) | 43.52% ( -0.01) |
| Manchester City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.29% ( 0.14) | 20.7% ( -0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.69% ( 0.22) | 53.31% ( -0.21) |
| Score Analysis |
| Bayern Munich | Draw | Manchester City |
| 2-1 @ 8.8% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 5.9% ( -0.04)2-0 @ 5.59% ( -0.04)3-1 @ 5.56% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 4.38% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 3.53% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 2.63% ( -0)4-2 @ 2.07% ( 0)4-0 @ 1.67% ( -0.01)4-3 @ 1.09% ( 0.01)5-1 @ 1% ( -0)Other @ 3.29% Total : 45.51% | 1-1 @ 9.29% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 6.93% ( 0.01)0-0 @ 3.11% ( -0.02)3-3 @ 2.3% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.48% Total : 22.11% | 1-2 @ 7.31% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 4.9% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 3.86% ( 0)1-3 @ 3.84% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 3.64% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 2.03% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 1.51% ( 0.01)2-4 @ 1.43% ( 0.01)3-4 @ 0.91% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.95% Total : 32.38% |
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