SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MTK win with a probability of 38.58%. A win for Kecskemeti TE had a probability of 35.63% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a MTK win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.46%) and 0-2 (6.41%). The likeliest Kecskemeti TE win was 1-0 (8.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.23%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that MTK would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Kecskemeti TE | Draw | MTK |
35.63% ( -0.12) | 25.78% ( 0.02) | 38.58% ( 0.1) |
| Both teams to score 54.91% ( -0.09) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.71% ( -0.12) | 49.28% ( 0.12) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.66% ( -0.11) | 71.34% ( 0.11) |
| Kecskemeti TE Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.27% ( -0.13) | 26.72% ( 0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.01% ( -0.17) | 61.99% ( 0.17) |
| MTK Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.93% ( 0) | 25.06% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.25% ( 0) | 59.75% ( -0) |
| Score Analysis |
| Kecskemeti TE | Draw | MTK |
| 1-0 @ 8.84% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 8.07% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 5.83% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 3.55% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 2.57% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 2.46% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 1.17% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.15% Total : 35.63% | 1-1 @ 12.23% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 6.7% ( 0.03)2-2 @ 5.58% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.13% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.78% | 0-1 @ 9.27% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 8.46% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 6.41% ( 0.03)1-3 @ 3.9% ( 0)0-3 @ 2.96% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 2.58% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 1.35% ( 0)0-4 @ 1.02% ( 0)Other @ 2.63% Total : 38.58% |
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