Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ferencvaros win with a probability of 45.95%. A win for Kecskemeti TE had a probability of 29.24% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ferencvaros win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.28%) and 0-2 (7.64%). The likeliest Kecskemeti TE win was 1-0 (7.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.71%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood.
0.03) 
-0.04) 
