SM
| Current Group C Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Algeria | 3 | 6 | 9 |
| 2 | Senegal | 3 | 4 | 6 |
| 3 | Kenya | 3 | -4 | 3 |
| 4 | Tanzania | 3 | -6 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cameroon win with a probability of 58.2%. A draw had a probability of 26.8% and a win for Kenya had a probability of 15.02%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cameroon win was 0-1 with a probability of 18.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (13.69%) and 1-2 (8.04%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (13.07%), while for a Kenya win it was 1-0 (7.67%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 18.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Cameroon in this match.
| Result | ||
| Kenya | Draw | Cameroon |
15.02% ( -0.01) | 26.78% ( 0) | 58.2% ( 0) |
| Both teams to score 33.96% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 33.27% ( -0.02) | 66.73% ( 0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 14.92% ( -0.01) | 85.08% ( 0.02) |
| Kenya Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 44.41% ( -0.02) | 55.6% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 11.77% ( -0.01) | 88.23% ( 0.02) |
| Cameroon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.49% ( -0.01) | 23.51% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.45% ( -0.01) | 57.55% ( 0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Kenya | Draw | Cameroon |
| 1-0 @ 7.67% 2-1 @ 3.26% ( -0)2-0 @ 2.25% ( -0)Other @ 1.84% Total : 15.02% | 0-0 @ 13.07% ( 0.01) 1-1 @ 11.1% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 2.36% ( -0)Other @ 0.24% Total : 26.77% | 0-1 @ 18.92% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 13.69% 1-2 @ 8.04% ( -0)0-3 @ 6.61% ( 0)1-3 @ 3.88% ( -0)0-4 @ 2.39% ( -0)1-4 @ 1.4% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.14% ( -0)Other @ 2.11% Total : 58.19% |
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