SM
| Current Group C Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Algeria | 3 | 6 | 9 |
| 2 | Senegal | 3 | 4 | 6 |
| 3 | Kenya | 3 | -4 | 3 |
| 4 | Tanzania | 3 | -6 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Zimbabwe win with a probability of 38.01%. A win for Kenya had a probability of 34.81% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Zimbabwe win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.18%) and 0-2 (6.81%). The likeliest Kenya win was 1-0 (10.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.89%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Kenya | Draw | Zimbabwe |
34.81% ( -2.01) | 27.18% ( 0.13) | 38.01% ( 1.88) |
| Both teams to score 50.24% ( -0.5) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.82% ( -0.59) | 55.18% ( 0.59) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.58% ( -0.48) | 76.42% ( 0.48) |
| Kenya Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.91% ( -1.52) | 30.09% ( 1.52) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.78% ( -1.87) | 66.22% ( 1.87) |
| Zimbabwe Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.86% ( 0.84) | 28.14% ( -0.83) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.18% ( 1.05) | 63.82% ( -1.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| Kenya | Draw | Zimbabwe |
| 1-0 @ 10.16% ( -0.21) 2-1 @ 7.74% ( -0.31)2-0 @ 6.11% ( -0.39)3-1 @ 3.1% ( -0.26)3-0 @ 2.45% ( -0.27)3-2 @ 1.97% ( -0.12)4-1 @ 0.93% ( -0.12)Other @ 2.34% Total : 34.8% | 1-1 @ 12.89% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 8.47% ( 0.19)2-2 @ 4.91% ( -0.08)Other @ 0.92% Total : 27.18% | 0-1 @ 10.73% ( 0.48) 1-2 @ 8.18% ( 0.22)0-2 @ 6.81% ( 0.46)1-3 @ 3.46% ( 0.17)0-3 @ 2.88% ( 0.26)2-3 @ 2.08% ( 0.02)1-4 @ 1.1% ( 0.08)0-4 @ 0.91% ( 0.1)Other @ 1.88% Total : 38.01% |
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