Kenya have put together a solid run of results this year and will be looking to build on their stalemate against Zimbabwe on Tuesday. While we expect Namibia to put up a fight, we are backing the Harambee Stars to come away with a narrow victory at the Orlando Stadium.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Namibia win with a probability of 35.94%. A win for Kenya had a probability of 33.12% and a draw had a probability of 30.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Namibia win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.14%) and 2-1 (6.91%). The likeliest Kenya win was 0-1 (13.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 0-0 (13.68%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Kenya would win this match.