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Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying | Group Stage
Sep 10, 2024 at 5pm UK
Orlando Stadium
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Namibia
1 - 2
Kenya

Hotto (90+5')
Hambira (20'), Katua (87')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Avire (58'), Abuya (76')
Chris Onyango (15'), Akumu (36'), Avire (68')

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last Game: Cameroon 1-0 Namibia
Saturday, September 7 at 5pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
All competitions
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last Game: Kenya 0-0 Zimbabwe
Friday, September 6 at 2pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

We said: Namibia 0-1 Kenya

Kenya have put together a solid run of results this year and will be looking to build on their stalemate against Zimbabwe on Tuesday. While we expect Namibia to put up a fight, we are backing the Harambee Stars to come away with a narrow victory at the Orlando Stadium. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Namibia win with a probability of 35.94%. A win for Kenya had a probability of 33.12% and a draw had a probability of 30.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Namibia win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.14%) and 2-1 (6.91%). The likeliest Kenya win was 0-1 (13.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 0-0 (13.68%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Kenya would win this match.

Result
NamibiaDrawKenya
35.94% (-1.581 -1.58) 30.94% (0.443 0.44) 33.12% (1.135 1.14)
Both teams to score 39.67% (-0.931 -0.93)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
32.03% (-1.172 -1.17)67.97% (1.169 1.17)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
14.08% (-0.788 -0.79)85.91% (0.78399999999999 0.78)
Namibia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.99% (-1.69 -1.69)36.01% (1.687 1.69)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.21% (-1.765 -1.77)72.79% (1.761 1.76)
Kenya Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62% (0.178 0.18)38% (-0.181 -0.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.23% (0.172 0.17)74.77% (-0.175 -0.17)
Score Analysis
    Namibia 35.93%
    Kenya 33.12%
    Draw 30.93%
NamibiaDrawKenya
1-0 @ 13.97% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
2-0 @ 7.14% (-0.355 -0.36)
2-1 @ 6.91% (-0.308 -0.31)
3-0 @ 2.43% (-0.24 -0.24)
3-1 @ 2.35% (-0.22 -0.22)
3-2 @ 1.14% (-0.101 -0.1)
Other @ 2%
Total : 35.93%
0-0 @ 13.68% (0.58 0.58)
1-1 @ 13.52% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
2-2 @ 3.34% (-0.132 -0.13)
Other @ 0.39%
Total : 30.93%
0-1 @ 13.24% (0.63 0.63)
1-2 @ 6.54% (0.047 0.05)
0-2 @ 6.41% (0.331 0.33)
1-3 @ 2.11% (0.025 0.02)
0-3 @ 2.07% (0.116 0.12)
2-3 @ 1.08% (-0.037 -0.04)
Other @ 1.68%
Total : 33.12%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Cameroon 1-0 Namibia
Saturday, September 7 at 5pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last Game: Angola 5-0 Namibia
Sunday, July 7 at 2pm in COSAFA Cup
Last Game: Mozambique 0-0 Namibia (2-4 pen.)
Friday, July 5 at 5pm in COSAFA Cup
Last Game: Namibia 3-1 Seychelles
Wednesday, July 3 at 2pm in COSAFA Cup
Last Game: Namibia 2-1 Lesotho
Monday, July 1 at 2pm in COSAFA Cup
Last Game: Angola 0-0 Namibia
Friday, June 28 at 5pm in COSAFA Cup
Last Game: Kenya 0-0 Zimbabwe
Friday, September 6 at 2pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last Game: Kenya 2-0 Zimbabwe
Tuesday, July 2 at 11am in COSAFA Cup
Last Game: Kenya 0-2 Comoros
Sunday, June 30 at 11am in COSAFA Cup
Last Game: Zambia 0-2 Kenya
Thursday, June 27 at 5pm in COSAFA Cup
Last Game: Kenya 0-0 Ivory Coast
Tuesday, June 11 at 2pm in World Cup Qualifying - Africa
Last Game: Kenya 1-1 Burundi
Friday, June 7 at 2pm in World Cup Qualifying - Africa


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