SM
| Current Group A Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Cameroon | 3 | 4 | 7 |
| 2 | Burkina Faso | 3 | 0 | 4 |
| 3 | Cape Verde | 3 | 0 | 4 |
| 4 | Ethiopia | 3 | -4 | 1 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cameroon win with a probability of 50.1%. A draw had a probability of 26.4% and a win for Kenya had a probability of 23.52%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cameroon win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.92%) and 2-1 (9.12%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.37%), while for a Kenya win it was 0-1 (8.39%).
| Result | ||
| Cameroon | Draw | Kenya |
50.1% ( -0.07) | 26.38% ( -0.01) | 23.52% ( 0.08) |
| Both teams to score 46.37% ( 0.1) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.88% ( 0.09) | 57.12% ( -0.09) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.01% ( 0.07) | 77.99% ( -0.07) |
| Cameroon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.11% ( 0) | 22.89% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.36% ( 0.01) | 56.64% ( -0.01) |
| Kenya Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.14% ( 0.13) | 39.86% ( -0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.47% ( 0.12) | 76.53% ( -0.12) |
| Score Analysis |
| Cameroon | Draw | Kenya |
| 1-0 @ 13.45% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 9.92% ( -0.03)2-1 @ 9.12% ( 0)3-0 @ 4.88% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 4.48% ( 0)3-2 @ 2.06% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1.8% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.65% ( 0)Other @ 2.73% Total : 50.09% | 1-1 @ 12.37% 0-0 @ 9.12% ( -0.03)2-2 @ 4.2% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.69% Total : 26.38% | 0-1 @ 8.39% 1-2 @ 5.69% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 3.86% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 1.74% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.29% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 1.18% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.37% Total : 23.52% |
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