Kenya's dominance in this fixture will give them a bit of a psychological edge and coupled with the added advantage of playing in front of their fans, we are backing them to carry the day, albeit by only a narrow margin. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Zimbabwe win with a probability of 42.95%. A win for Kenya had a probability of 28.79% and a draw had a probability of 28.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Zimbabwe win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.45%) and 1-2 (8.35%). The likeliest Kenya win was 1-0 (10.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.1%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood.

Result
Kenya	Draw	Zimbabwe
28.79% ( -0.05)	28.26% ( 0.01)	42.95% ( 0.05)

Both teams to score 45.25% (

-0.04)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

39.43% (

-0.04)

60.57% (

0.04)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

19.33% (

-0.03)

80.67% (

0.03)

Kenya Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.8% (

-0.06)

37.19% (

0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.02% (

-0.06)

73.98% (

0.07)

Zimbabwe Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.05% (

0.01)

27.95% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.42% (

0.01)

63.58% (

-0.01)

Score Analysis

Kenya 28.79%

Zimbabwe 42.94%

Draw 28.25%

Kenya	Draw	Zimbabwe
1-0 @ 10.28% 2-1 @ 6.48% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 5.09% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 2.14% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 1.68% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 1.36% ( -0) Other @ 1.77% Total : 28.79%	1-1 @ 13.1% 0-0 @ 10.39% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 4.13% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.63% Total : 28.25%	0-1 @ 13.25% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 8.45% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 8.35% ( 0) 0-3 @ 3.59% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 3.55% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.76% ( -0) 0-4 @ 1.14% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.13% ( 0) Other @ 1.73% Total : 42.94%