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Europa League | Second Qualifying Round | 1st Leg
Jul 25, 2024 at 7.30pm UK
Rugby Park

Kilmarnock
1 - 1
Cercle Brugge

Watson (70')
Lyons (66')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Olaigbe (55')
Somers (85')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Kilmarnock 5-0 Barrow
Friday, July 19 at 7pm in Club Friendlies 3
Last Game: Feyenoord 1-0 Cercle Brugge
Saturday, July 20 at 12pm in Club Friendlies 1

We said: Kilmarnock 1-1 Cercle Brugge

Both teams will fancy their chances of coming out on top in this first-leg tie, particularly Kilmarnock on home soil, but we expect a somewhat cagey affair to take place on Thursday which could lead to a share of the spoils, keeping the tie finely poised ahead of the reverse fixture next week. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cercle Brugge win with a probability of 41.08%. A win for Kilmarnock had a probability of 33.81% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cercle Brugge win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.8%) and 0-2 (6.63%). The likeliest Kilmarnock win was 1-0 (7.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.83%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
KilmarnockDrawCercle Brugge
33.81% (-3.713 -3.71) 25.12% (-0.106 -0.11) 41.08% (3.822 3.82)
Both teams to score 56.87% (-0.102 -0.1)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.39% (0.069000000000003 0.07)46.61% (-0.069000000000003 -0.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.12% (0.066000000000003 0.07)68.88% (-0.064999999999998 -0.06)
Kilmarnock Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.46% (-2.086 -2.09)26.54% (2.088 2.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.26% (-2.854 -2.85)61.74% (2.855 2.86)
Cercle Brugge Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.41% (2.001 2)22.59% (-2.001 -2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.8% (2.89 2.89)56.2% (-2.889 -2.89)
Score Analysis
    Kilmarnock 33.81%
    Cercle Brugge 41.08%
    Draw 25.11%
KilmarnockDrawCercle Brugge
1-0 @ 7.95% (-0.516 -0.52)
2-1 @ 7.85% (-0.519 -0.52)
2-0 @ 5.28% (-0.689 -0.69)
3-1 @ 3.47% (-0.458 -0.46)
3-2 @ 2.58% (-0.174 -0.17)
3-0 @ 2.33% (-0.468 -0.47)
4-1 @ 1.15% (-0.232 -0.23)
Other @ 3.19%
Total : 33.81%
1-1 @ 11.83% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
0-0 @ 6% (-0.018 -0.02)
2-2 @ 5.84% (-0.031000000000001 -0.03)
3-3 @ 1.28% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 25.11%
0-1 @ 8.92% (0.484 0.48)
1-2 @ 8.8% (0.468 0.47)
0-2 @ 6.63% (0.718 0.72)
1-3 @ 4.36% (0.467 0.47)
0-3 @ 3.29% (0.523 0.52)
2-3 @ 2.89% (0.15 0.15)
1-4 @ 1.62% (0.257 0.26)
0-4 @ 1.22% (0.253 0.25)
2-4 @ 1.08% (0.114 0.11)
Other @ 2.26%
Total : 41.08%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Kilmarnock 5-0 Barrow
Friday, July 19 at 7pm in Club Friendlies 3
Last Game: Talbot 0-4 Kilmarnock
Sunday, July 14 at 2pm in Club Friendlies 3
Last Game: Dundee 1-1 Kilmarnock
Saturday, May 18 at 12.30pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Kilmarnock 0-5 Celtic
Wednesday, May 15 at 7.30pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: St Mirren 0-1 Kilmarnock
Saturday, May 11 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Rangers 4-1 Kilmarnock
Sunday, May 5 at 1pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Feyenoord 1-0 Cercle Brugge
Saturday, July 20 at 12pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Brugge 0-0 Cercle Brugge
Sunday, May 26 at 5.30pm in Belgian Pro League
Last Game: Cercle Brugge 1-2 Union SG
Sunday, May 19 at 12.30pm in Belgian Pro League
Last Game: Antwerp 1-2 Cercle Brugge
Sunday, May 12 at 5.30pm in Belgian Pro League
Last Game: Cercle Brugge 4-1 Genk
Saturday, May 4 at 7.45pm in Belgian Pro League
Last Game: Cercle Brugge 1-1 Anderlecht
Sunday, April 28 at 3pm in Belgian Pro League


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