SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a KuPS win with a probability of 59.68%. A draw had a probability of 21.5% and a win for Ekenas IF had a probability of 18.86%.
The most likely scoreline for a KuPS win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.96%) and 2-0 (9.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.09%), while for a Ekenas IF win it was 0-1 (5.12%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that KuPS would win this match.
| Result | ||
| KuPS | Draw | Ekenas IF |
59.68% ( -0.31) | 21.46% ( 0.1) | 18.86% ( 0.21) |
| Both teams to score 54.79% ( 0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.31% ( -0.14) | 42.69% ( 0.14) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.91% ( -0.14) | 65.09% ( 0.14) |
| KuPS Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.07% ( -0.14) | 13.92% ( 0.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 58.62% ( -0.27) | 41.37% ( 0.27) |
| Ekenas IF Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.65% ( 0.15) | 36.35% ( -0.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.86% ( 0.15) | 73.13% ( -0.14) |
| Score Analysis |
| KuPS | Draw | Ekenas IF |
| 1-0 @ 9.98% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 9.96% ( -0)2-0 @ 9.84% ( -0.04)3-1 @ 6.54% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 6.47% ( -0.06)3-2 @ 3.31% ( -0)4-1 @ 3.23% ( -0.03)4-0 @ 3.19% ( -0.05)4-2 @ 1.63% ( -0.01)5-1 @ 1.27% ( -0.02)5-0 @ 1.26% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.02% Total : 59.68% | 1-1 @ 10.09% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 5.06% ( 0.03)2-2 @ 5.04% ( 0.02)3-3 @ 1.12% ( 0)Other @ 0.15% Total : 21.46% | 0-1 @ 5.12% ( 0.05) 1-2 @ 5.11% ( 0.04)0-2 @ 2.59% ( 0.04)1-3 @ 1.72% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 1.7% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.61% Total : 18.86% |
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