SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a KuPS win with a probability of 36.79%. A win for Vaasan Palloseura had a probability of 36.22% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for a KuPS win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.06%) and 0-2 (6.47%). The likeliest Vaasan Palloseura win was 1-0 (10.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.81%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that KuPS would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Vaasan Palloseura | Draw | KuPS |
36.22% ( -0.75) | 26.99% ( 0.26) | 36.79% ( 0.48) |
| Both teams to score 50.96% ( -0.84) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.68% ( -1.06) | 54.31% ( 1.06) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.29% ( -0.89) | 75.7% ( 0.89) |
| Vaasan Palloseura Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.21% ( -0.95) | 28.79% ( 0.95) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.36% ( -1.21) | 64.63% ( 1.2) |
| KuPS Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.55% ( -0.22) | 28.44% ( 0.22) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.79% ( -0.28) | 64.2% ( 0.27) |
| Score Analysis |
| Vaasan Palloseura | Draw | KuPS |
| 1-0 @ 10.19% ( 0.15) 2-1 @ 7.98% ( -0.15)2-0 @ 6.35% ( -0.08)3-1 @ 3.31% ( -0.15)3-0 @ 2.64% ( -0.1)3-2 @ 2.08% ( -0.11)4-1 @ 1.03% ( -0.08)Other @ 2.63% Total : 36.21% | 1-1 @ 12.81% ( 0.11) 0-0 @ 8.19% ( 0.33)2-2 @ 5.02% ( -0.12)Other @ 0.96% Total : 26.98% | 0-1 @ 10.29% ( 0.35) 1-2 @ 8.06% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 6.47% ( 0.19)1-3 @ 3.38% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 2.71% ( 0.06)2-3 @ 2.1% ( -0.07)1-4 @ 1.06% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.71% Total : 36.79% |
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