SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a KuPS win with a probability of 42.69%. A win for Lahti had a probability of 30.46% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a KuPS win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.72%) and 0-2 (7.84%). The likeliest Lahti win was 1-0 (9.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.73%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for KuPS in this match.
| Result | ||
| Lahti | Draw | KuPS |
30.46% ( 0.08) | 26.85% ( 0) | 42.69% ( -0.08) |
| Both teams to score 50.04% ( 0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.13% ( 0.01) | 54.87% ( -0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.84% ( 0.01) | 76.16% ( -0.01) |
| Lahti Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.12% ( 0.06) | 32.88% ( -0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.54% ( 0.07) | 69.45% ( -0.07) |
| KuPS Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.55% ( -0.04) | 25.44% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.73% ( -0.05) | 60.27% ( 0.05) |
| Score Analysis |
| Lahti | Draw | KuPS |
| 1-0 @ 9.31% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 7.08% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 5.18% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 2.63% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 1.92% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 1.8% ( 0)Other @ 2.55% Total : 30.46% | 1-1 @ 12.73% 0-0 @ 8.37% ( -0)2-2 @ 4.85% ( 0)Other @ 0.9% Total : 26.85% | 0-1 @ 11.45% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 8.72% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 7.84% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 3.98% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 3.58% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 2.21% 1-4 @ 1.36% ( -0)0-4 @ 1.22% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.34% Total : 42.69% |
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