SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lahti win with a probability of 43.29%. A win for Ekenas IF had a probability of 32.51% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lahti win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.19%) and 0-2 (6.6%). The likeliest Ekenas IF win was 2-1 (7.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.19%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Ekenas IF | Draw | Lahti |
32.51% ( 0.33) | 24.19% ( 0.07) | 43.29% ( -0.4) |
| Both teams to score 59.67% ( -0.12) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.24% ( -0.21) | 42.75% ( 0.21) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.84% ( -0.21) | 65.16% ( 0.21) |
| Ekenas IF Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.53% ( 0.09) | 25.47% ( -0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.7% ( 0.13) | 60.3% ( -0.13) |
| Lahti Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.06% ( -0.26) | 19.93% ( 0.26) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.92% ( -0.42) | 52.08% ( 0.42) |
| Score Analysis |
| Ekenas IF | Draw | Lahti |
| 2-1 @ 7.66% ( 0.05) 1-0 @ 6.94% ( 0.08)2-0 @ 4.75% ( 0.07)3-1 @ 3.49% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 2.82% ( 0)3-0 @ 2.17% ( 0.04)4-1 @ 1.19% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 0.96% ( 0)Other @ 2.53% Total : 32.51% | 1-1 @ 11.19% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 6.18% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 5.08% ( 0.05)3-3 @ 1.51% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.23% Total : 24.18% | 1-2 @ 9.03% ( -0.04) 0-1 @ 8.19% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 6.6% ( -0.04)1-3 @ 4.86% ( -0.06)0-3 @ 3.55% ( -0.05)2-3 @ 3.32% ( -0.03)1-4 @ 1.96% ( -0.04)0-4 @ 1.43% ( -0.03)2-4 @ 1.34% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.02% Total : 43.29% |
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