SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a KuPS win with a probability of 46.76%. A win for Vaasan Palloseura had a probability of 27.49% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a KuPS win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.21%) and 2-0 (8.45%). The likeliest Vaasan Palloseura win was 0-1 (8.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.24%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that KuPS would win this match.
| Result | ||
| KuPS | Draw | Vaasan Palloseura |
46.76% ( -0.08) | 25.75% ( -0) | 27.49% ( 0.08) |
| Both teams to score 51.64% ( 0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.02% ( 0.05) | 51.98% ( -0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.28% ( 0.04) | 73.72% ( -0.04) |
| KuPS Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.78% ( -0.02) | 22.22% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.36% ( -0.02) | 55.64% ( 0.02) |
| Vaasan Palloseura Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.39% ( 0.09) | 33.61% ( -0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.74% ( 0.09) | 70.25% ( -0.09) |
| Score Analysis |
| KuPS | Draw | Vaasan Palloseura |
| 1-0 @ 11.23% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 9.21% ( -0)2-0 @ 8.45% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 4.62% ( -0)3-0 @ 4.24% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 2.52% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.74% ( -0)4-0 @ 1.59% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 0.95% ( 0)Other @ 2.21% Total : 46.75% | 1-1 @ 12.24% 0-0 @ 7.47% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 5.02% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 0.92% ( 0)Other @ 0.1% Total : 25.74% | 0-1 @ 8.14% ( 0) 1-2 @ 6.68% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 4.44% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 2.43% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.83% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 1.61% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.37% Total : 27.49% |
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