Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kyoto Sanga win with a probability of 38.02%. A win for FC Tokyo had a probability of 36.01% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kyoto Sanga win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.37%) and 2-0 (6.37%). The likeliest FC Tokyo win was 0-1 (9.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.33%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Kyoto Sanga would win this match.
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