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J1 League | Gameweek 23
Jul 13, 2024 at 11am UK
Grenada National Stadium

FC Tokyo
2 - 0
Albirex Niigata

Endo (6'), Nozawa (78')
Kimoto (42')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Endo (24'), Horigome (36')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Reysol 3-2 FC Tokyo
Saturday, July 6 at 11.30am in J1 League
Last Game: Albirex Niigata 3-4 Sagan Tosu
Saturday, July 6 at 10.30am in J1 League

We said: FC Tokyo 1-1 Albirex Niigata

Both teams will be keen to bounce back to winning ways on Saturday after disappointing results last time out, and we anticipate a hard-fought encounter which could end level in the Japanese capital. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Tokyo win with a probability of 40.46%. A win for Albirex Niigata had a probability of 33.25% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Tokyo win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.61%) and 2-0 (7.04%). The likeliest Albirex Niigata win was 0-1 (9.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.5%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that FC Tokyo would win this match.

Result
FC TokyoDrawAlbirex Niigata
40.46% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01) 26.29% (-0.177 -0.18) 33.25% (0.191 0.19)
Both teams to score 52.79% (0.625 0.63)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.19% (0.777 0.78)51.81% (-0.772 -0.77)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.43% (0.671 0.67)73.57% (-0.664 -0.66)
FC Tokyo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.79% (0.351 0.35)25.21% (-0.345 -0.35)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.05% (0.477 0.48)59.95% (-0.471 -0.47)
Albirex Niigata Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.58% (0.51100000000001 0.51)29.42% (-0.506 -0.51)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.59% (0.62 0.62)65.41% (-0.61399999999999 -0.61)
Score Analysis
    FC Tokyo 40.45%
    Albirex Niigata 33.25%
    Draw 26.29%
FC TokyoDrawAlbirex Niigata
1-0 @ 10.21% (-0.22 -0.22)
2-1 @ 8.61% (0.028 0.03)
2-0 @ 7.04% (-0.076 -0.08)
3-1 @ 3.96% (0.052 0.05)
3-0 @ 3.23% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-2 @ 2.42% (0.064 0.06)
4-1 @ 1.36% (0.031 0.03)
4-0 @ 1.11% (0.01 0.01)
Other @ 2.5%
Total : 40.45%
1-1 @ 12.5% (-0.08 -0.08)
0-0 @ 7.42% (-0.231 -0.23)
2-2 @ 5.27% (0.09 0.09)
3-3 @ 0.99% (0.04 0.04)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 26.29%
0-1 @ 9.08% (-0.152 -0.15)
1-2 @ 7.65% (0.056 0.06)
0-2 @ 5.55% (-0.014 -0.01)
1-3 @ 3.12% (0.066 0.07)
0-3 @ 2.27% (0.026 0.03)
2-3 @ 2.15% (0.067 0.07)
1-4 @ 0.96% (0.034 0.03)
Other @ 2.48%
Total : 33.25%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Reysol 3-2 FC Tokyo
Saturday, July 6 at 11.30am in J1 League
Last Game: FC Tokyo 0-1 Avispa Fukuoka
Sunday, June 30 at 10.30am in J1 League
Last Game: FC Tokyo 1-0 Consadole
Wednesday, June 26 at 11am in J1 League
Last Game: Shonan Bellmare 0-1 FC Tokyo
Saturday, June 22 at 11am in J1 League
Last Game: FC Tokyo 1-1 Jubilo Iwata
Sunday, June 16 at 10am in J1 League
Last Game: Sagan Tosu 0-1 FC Tokyo
Friday, May 31 at 11am in J1 League
Last Game: Albirex Niigata 3-4 Sagan Tosu
Saturday, July 6 at 10.30am in J1 League
Last Game: Consadole 0-1 Albirex Niigata
Saturday, June 29 at 6am in J1 League
Last Game: Hiroshima 1-1 Albirex Niigata
Wednesday, June 26 at 11am in J1 League
Last Game: Albirex Niigata 2-2 Kawasaki
Saturday, June 22 at 10am in J1 League
Last Game: Kashima Antlers 1-1 Albirex Niigata
Sunday, June 16 at 10am in J1 League
Last Game: Machida Zelvia 1-3 Albirex Niigata
Saturday, June 1 at 7am in J1 League


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