Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lanus win with a probability of 54.74%. A draw had a probability of 25% and a win for Cuiaba had a probability of 20.27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lanus win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.87%) and 2-1 (9.42%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.75%), while for a Cuiaba win it was 0-1 (7.33%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood.
0.09) 
-0.02) 
