Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sturm Graz win with a probability of 37.12%. A win for LASK Linz had a probability of 36.11% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sturm Graz win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.14%) and 0-2 (6.47%). The likeliest LASK Linz win was 1-0 (9.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.72%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood.
-0.02) 
0.01) 
